Sudden outburst of excitement as we have the rare event of an opinion poll for the Assembly election. Some very general lines like Blamerbell here commenting about this poll and predicting a Labour decline. I don't see it on the ground but one thing is now totally clear.
If the people of Wales want a Labour administration after May 3rd then they must go and vote for it. Otherwise we face the prospect of a growing Tory influence. That is their democratic choice on May 3rd and it seems that a vote for the flat lining (but big spending) Plaid is just a distraction.
Perhaps this is how politics use to be, before Labour's recent landslides, and we need to keep reminding people how precious a vote for Labour can be.
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4 comments:
A lot of fuss over a few numbers, the voters are too unpredictable for us to worry too much about a poll at this stage.
I agree. Few people would stake their house on one poll at this stage of an election campaign, with the statistical variations involved with any such poll. Even less so when dealing with a new constituency.
I think Labour can simply take this poll to its workers and supporters and say the outcome can be changed by your hardwork and support over the next month. Get to it.
I agree that thpoll should be taken with a considerable pinch of salt.
However I'd note the following couple of points:
(1) Compared to UK polls, this one has Labour doing rather well.
(2) Previous pre Welsh Assembly polls have considerably over stated the Labour vote & under stated the Plaid one.
and I just feel with a +/- % (as in all polls, and about a month to go) anyone trying to draw firm conclusions would be foolsih.
Its all to play for - go forth and knock doors for your cause !
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